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Nick’s Big Win on Small Caps: What He Saw Before the Breakout

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In one of his most successful trades of the year so far, Nick capitalized on a major breakout in the Russell 2000 (US2000) index, driven by a combination of macroeconomic shifts and well-timed entries. Let’s break down the trade, the reasoning behind it, and how Nick managed it with a professional trailing stop strategy. The […]

In one of his most successful trades of the year so far, Nick capitalized on a major breakout in the Russell 2000 (US2000) index, driven by a combination of macroeconomic shifts and well-timed entries. Let’s break down the trade, the reasoning behind it, and how Nick managed it with a professional trailing stop strategy.

The Setup: Fundamentals + Sentiment + Technical Support

Back in late May, Nick opened a long position on the Russell 2000 index (via $IWM in his personal account, and mirrored via US2000 CFDs for international traders). His reasoning? A confluence of fundamental and sentiment factors:

  • Domestic Onshoring: With the Russell 2000 made up mostly of U.S.-based companies, Nick anticipated these small caps would benefit from economic initiatives favoring domestic production.
  • Inflation Cooling: He believed inflation was easing enough for the Fed to consider rate cuts later in the year—typically a bullish factor for equities, especially smaller companies that rely more heavily on financing.
  • Support Holding: On the technical side, the index had found support, giving a favorable entry with a defined risk.

Initial Entry: 2026.15
Initial Stop: 1950.16

Trade Management: Trailing the Move

As the trade developed, Nick adjusted his stop multiple times to reflect changes in price structure, market momentum, and macro news:

  • May 29: Trimmed the stop slightly tighter to reduce risk after an early bounce.
  • June 7–13: Trailing stops were placed below recent resistance-turned-support, especially following strong jobs data.
  • June 27: Another stop adjustment came after the U.S. Senate passed a major spending bill under Trump—one that the market interpreted as highly favorable to small caps, particularly in sectors like industrials, finance, and healthcare.

Later Stop (as of July 8–9): Trailed up to 2187.61
"Locking in more profit… strong push today, and a higher low forming around 2200." —Nick

Strategy in Action: Using the EdgeFinder

This trade was a textbook example of how Nick blends macro analysis with tools like the EdgeFinder, our proprietary market scanner. The EdgeFinder flagged the Russell 2000 as a bullish opportunity weeks before the move, thanks to its:

  • Bullish fundamental score (based on interest rate projections and inflation trends)
  • Strong sentiment rating, due to institutional optimism
  • “Top Setup” status, highlighting the asset on Nick’s radar

“My best trade of the year so far,” Nick wrote in a July 8 update.
“The EdgeFinder gave a bullish signal... I was able to buy the dip and trail the move up.”

Key Lessons from This Trade

  • Be Patient with Good Setups: Nick’s trade developed over several weeks, and he never forced a target. He let the market run while trailing stops did the work.
  • Let Fundamentals Guide You: Inflation trends and rate expectations drove this move. Understanding the macro story helped Nick align with the bigger picture.
  • Use Tools That Reinforce Your Edge: The EdgeFinder served as a confirmation tool—not just identifying opportunities, but giving traders confidence in their thesis.

Want to See Trades Like This in Real Time?

Nick shares all of his trades—including entry/exit, live updates, and detailed analysis—inside our VIP Discord.

VIP members also get:

  • Nick’s full strategy library & market breakdowns
  • Real-time trade alerts and trailing stop updates
  • Live chatrooms

Use code READER for a discount on all VIP memberships and start following trades like this from day one.

Tags:
Top Setups ECO

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